A Small Population Size

Marker Coverage of the Genome

Number of Progeny Required for Minimum Confidence Interval

The Simple Ratio

 

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Number of Progeny Required for Minimum Confidence Interval

Source: Pg. 192 Statistical Genomics: Linkage, mapping and QTL analysis. B.H. Liu.

Let c = the maximum range of the 95% confidence interval for our estimate of p; i = I(p) is the expected information content per individual as p is varied; N is the number of individuals required to obtain the desired confidence interval. For the case of a 95% confidence interval, we know that Za = 1.96. 2(1.96) = 3.92. The formula is as follows:
N >
(3.92)2
c2 I(p)

Example: For the testcross family with repulsion linkage and p = 0.4, we have shown that
I(p) = i =
   1   
=
   1   
= 4.167 = i.
p(1-p)
0.4(0.6)

Now let us find the number of individuals required for a 95% confidence interval for p = 0.4 in the case of testcross family when we want the size of the confidence interval to be c = 0.02 and using the formula
N >
 (3.92)2
=
     (3.92)2   
= 904 individuals.
c2I(p)
(0.02)2(4.167)

Example:
Let us find the number of individuals needed in our family when we estimate p for the testcross when p = 0.05 and we want the 95% confidence interval to be c = 0.02.
N >
    (3.92)2    
= 1830.
(0.02)2(21.05)

We knew that I(p) = 21.05 because I(p) = 1/ p(1-p)
= 1/ 0.05(1 - 0.05) = 21.05 = i.
Example:
Let us find N when we have p = 0.4 for the F2 family in repulsion-phase linkage.
I(p) =
 2(1 + 2p2
= 1.46 then N>
  (3.92)2  
= 26500.
(1 - p2)(2 + p2)
(0.02)2(1.46)

We can use the above formulas to plan experiments to have a pre-determined level of precision.

Copyright 2000©, Ted Helms

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